Scenario Development - A Duel between paradigms

Worldview dependent, this duel continues today

Photo by Richard Lee on Unsplash

I was reading a paper recently about quantitative ‘scenario planning’ (which I now call scenario development), and I shuddered. Not because the paper wasn’t good, but because it seem to eliminate people from the analysis process. It relied on finding a range of existing scenario narratives from which change factors were e…